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CLINICAL STUDY |
Christie Hospital NHS Trust, Department of Endocrinology, Wilmslow Road, Withington, Manchester M20 4BX, UK
(Correspondence should be addressed to P Trainer; Email: peter.trainer{at}man.ac.uk)
| Abstract |
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| Introduction |
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SA are expensive and may have side effects. Thus, there has been great interest in identifying the factors which predict a good response to SA therapy (SAT), thereby focusing treatment on those most likely to respond. Studies have suggested that the response to SA is determined by tumour somatostatin receptor expression, but this is not a clinically practicable means of selecting patients for therapy (8). Pretreatment GH levels have been shown to predict the probability of achieving normal GH levels with long-term SAT (5). It has also been argued that the GH response to an acute dose of octreotide is of value in judging the likely response to long-term therapy. The octreotide test dose has become routine practice in many endocrine centres, but there is a dearth of data defining the criteria by which to judge the response and its predictive accuracy. The aim of this study was to analyse our experience of the octreotide test dose (TD) with the goal of defining optimal criteria for predicting the response to long-term octreotide therapy.
| Subjects and methods |
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Forty-seven patients (22 female; median age 51 years, range 2082) with acromegaly had an octreotide test between February 1988 and September 2004. Thirty-seven patients had macroadenomas; 33 patients had undergone hypophysectomy and 37 radiotherapy. There was at least a 1-year interval between radiotherapy and initiation of octreotide. Twenty patients were on a fixed dose of a dopamine agonist at the time of the octreotide test and during subsequent SAT.
Protocols
Octreotide TD Fasted patients received subcutaneously 50 or 100 µg (n = 5) octreotide (Sandostatin, Novartis Pharma Services, Basel, Switzerland). Blood samples were drawn through an indwelling catheter at 15 and 0 min and hourly for up to 9 h. No difference was found in response between the two dose groups (42 vs 5 patients).
Assessment of disease activity The primary biochemical measure of disease activity was by calculation of the mean of five GH samples drawn during a single day (GH day curve (GHDC)) (9). In recent years, IGF-1 has been a secondary parameter in the assessment of the activity of acromegaly.
SAT After the octreotide TD, patients proceeded to SAT with either short-acting octreotide (n = 6), long-acting octreotide (Sandostatin LAR, Novartis; n = 35) or lanreotide (Somatuline Autogel, Ipsen Ltd, Slough, Berks, UK; n = 1). The dose of SAT was titrated with the primary goal of achieving a mean GH of < 5 mU/l during a GHDC. A secondary goal was to lower IGF-I into the reference range.
Assays
GH Until 2000, GH was measured by immunoradiometric assay (Netria, London, UK) (sensitivity 0.5 mU/l; inter- and intra-assay coefficients of variation (CV) of < 5%); now one uses a two-site chemiluminiscence immunoassay (Nichols Advantage; Nichols Institute Diagnostics, San Clemente, CA, USA) (sensitivity 0.3 mU/l, intraassay CV 4.28.0%, interassay CV 4.112.1%).
IGF-I Until 2000, IGF-I was measured by in-house RIA with a single reference range for adults (838 nmol/l, precision and reproducibility of < 10%). This was replaced with a two-site chemiluminescence immunoassay (Nichols Advantage), with the age-related reference range provided by the manufacturer. Since 2003, age- and gender-related reference ranges have been used (10). The precision of this assay is 4.45.2% with reproducibility of 5.77.4% and limit of sensitivity of 6 µg/l.
Statistical analysis
The data had a skewed distribution; therefore, non-parametric tests were used. Correlation analysis was performed by Spearmans rank correlation test. Sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive value (PPV and NPV) were calculated as follows: sensitivity = true positives/(true positives + false negatives); specificity = true negatives/(true negatives + false positives); PPV = true positives/(true positives + false positives); NPV = true negatives/(true negatives + false negatives). Numerous criteria were examined to establish the optimal PPV and NPV of the TD, and it was concluded that the criteria providing the best prediction of the subsequent response to SAT were a mean GH of < 5 mU/l and a percentage fall of > 50% and > 75% in GH values during the TD.
| Results |
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Response to SAT
Individual values for pretreatment GH levels, nadir GH after TD and during SAT are illustrated in Fig. 1
. The mean pretreatment GH during a GHDC was 19.3 mU/l (range 2.2233 mU/l). The lowest mean GH achieved on SAT was 3.6 mU/l (range < 0.326.6 mU/l), while median percentage fall during SAT was 83% (range 35% to +98%). Sixty-four per cent of patients achieved a mean GH during GHDC of < 5 mU/l.
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There was a positive correlation between pretreatment and nadir GH values during the TD (r = 0.741, P < 0.001). The median GH value fell from a baseline of 19.3 mU/l (range 2.2233 mU/l) to a nadir of 4.3 mU/l (range < 0.385 mU/l), the nadir occurring at a median interval of 180 min (range 60540 min). The median fall in GH was 78% (range 3598%). Fifty-seven per cent of patients achieved a nadir GH of < 5 mU/l (Fig. 1
). As described above, octreotide TD was analysed to optimise prediction of the subsequent response to SAT. One absolute criterion and two relative evaluating criteria were established as follows:
Relationship between the TD and the response to SAT
There was a positive correlation between the GH nadir after TD and the best mean GH on SAT (r = 0.54, P < 0.001) (Fig. 2
). The highest PPV (82%) of achieving the desired GH on SAT of < 5 mU/l was observed for TD nadir of < 5 mU/l. Percentage falls of > 50% and > 75% in GH values after TD had PPVs of the subsequent response to SAT of 69% and 72% respectively. Nevertheless, the NPVs of all criteria were unsatisfactory, standing at 50%, 38% and 40% respectively (Tables 1
and 2
and Figs 2
3
), indicating that patients who did not have the desired response to a TD might still respond to SAT.
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There was a positive correlation between pretreatment GH values and those during SAT (r = 0.38, P = 0.001) (Fig. 4
). The pretreatment GH values were highly predictive of the response to SAT. Eighty-one per cent of patients with a mean pretreatment GH during a GHDC of < 20 mU/l obtained the desired mean GH of < 5 mU/l during SAT, the results for patients with mean pretreatment GH of 2060 mU/l and > 60 mU/l being 62% and 25% respectively (Fig. 4
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At study entry, 22/32 patients in whom a baseline IGF-I was available had an IGF-I value above the upper limit of the reference range (ULRR). The primary reason to treat in the remaining patients was elevated GH levels.
In the 22 patients with an initially elevated IGF-I, SAT resulted in a fall of IGF-I from a median of 107% above ULRR (range 29290%) to 1% above ULRR (87% to +146%), with normalisation being seen in 11 patients (50%). Median pretreatment IGF-I value expressed relative to the ULRRwas higher in the patients in whom IGF-I did not normalise on treatment (140% (range 61290%) vs 29% (range 71% to +242%); P < 0.001). The best predictor of normalisation of IGF-I (PPV 83%, NPV 61%) was a GH nadir of < 5 mU/l after the TD. Although there was a positive correlation (r = 0.48, P = 0.002) between GH and IGF-I during long-term SAT, results were discrepant in 27% of patients, with elevated IGF-I and mean GH of < 5 mU/l in 12%, and normal IGF-I and elevated GH in 15%.
| Discussion |
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Recently, Karavitaki et al. (18) reported the relationship between the TD and SAT in 30 patients. With 100 µg octreotide, 75% of patients achieved the desired GH levels of < 5 mU/l. With receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves to optimise the diagnostic value of the TD, 100% sensitivity and 80% specificity could be achieved (using the criterion of a GH nadir of < 5.25 mU/l), which equates to a PPV of 94% and NPV of 100%. For lanreotide, the best results were obtained with the criterion of GH nadir of < 6.05 mU/l (sensitivity 92%, specificity 67%, PPV 92%, NPV 67%). However, it must be appreciated that GH assays lack the performance to allow such precise measurement, and thus diagnostic accuracy inevitably deteriorates when more practicable criteria are applied. Karavitaki et al. (18) concluded that the TD is a reliable tool for the selection of patients with active acromegaly that will achieve safe GH levels on therapy with octreotide LAR.
Biermasz et al. (19) analysed the relationship between the response to the acute test (50 µg i.v. octreotide) and the outcome of chronic octreotide LAR treatment in 18 patients with acromegaly. A nadir GH of < 5 mU/l during the TD predicted with 100% sensitivity and specificity GH levels of < 5 mU/l on treatment. However, GH and IGF-I results were discrepant in 33% of patients, and the GH response to the TD was a poor predictor of normalisation of IGF-I (PPV 73%, NPV 57%). Despite this, the authors supported the use of the acute test as a predictor of the response to octreotide treatment.
Gilbert et al. (20) reviewed the results of a TD (50 µg sc octreotide) in 33 patients. A TD GH nadir of < 5 mU/l had 80% sensitivity and 83% specificity in predicting a mean GH < 5 mU/l (defined goal of therapy) during SAT, from which the authors judged the TD useful. However, a fifth of patients who achieved GH < 5 mU/l on treatment had a GH nadir > 5 mU/l following TD and on that basis would not have qualified for SAT. Furthermore, the majority (10/14) of patients classified by their GH levels as in remission had IGF-I above upper limit of reference range.
De Herder et al. (21) applied 2 relative (>50 or 75% fall) and 2 absolute criteria (nadir GH < 1.1 or 2 mcg/l), all arbitrary, in their analysis of the TD performance in 24 therapy-naïve patients. In contrast to the other groups, the primary goal of therapy was to normalise IGF-I, with a > 50% fall in GH during the TD having sensitivity and negative predictive value of 100%. No patient in whom GH failed to fall by > 50% during the TD did normalise IGF-I on the treatment; however, the other criteria were of little value and the authors concluded that the acute test was unnecessary prior to Sandostatin LAR therapy.
In contrast to Colao et al. (17) and De Herder et al. (21), our study and the other recent ones (1820) had as the primary goal of therapy a mean GH of < 5 mU/l (22, 23), and nadir rather than mean values following the octreotide TD were analysed. The difference in therapeutic goal between the studies is irrelevant to the analysis of the TD as in all studies the dose of SAT was titrated to achieve the predetermined therapeutic goal.
In our study, the best predictive value of the TD (PPV 82%, NPV 50%) was achieved using the criterion of a GH nadir < 5 mU/l during TD, with patients meeting this criterion consistently achieving the desired goal during long-term treatment of mean GH during GHDC of < 5 mU/l. While a positive response to a TD predicts a good response to subsequent therapy, the limitation of the test is that failure to respond to a TD does not preclude achieving GH values of < 5 mU/l on long-term treatment. Twenty-seven percent of patients who did not respond to a TD went on to achieve GH levels of < 5 mU/l during SAT; therefore, no patient should be denied SAT based on a failure to respond to a TD.
The case for performing octreotide tests is further undermined by our confirmation of the previously reported correlation between pre-treatment GH values and the best mean GH values achieved on subsequent SAT (5). In our study pretreatment GH values were highly predictive of the probability of achieving a GH of < 5 mU/l with treatment. Eighty-one percent of patients with a pretreatment GH < 20 mU/l achieved the desired GH levels, which contrasts with only 25% of patients with pretreatment GH levels > 60 mU/l. Furthermore, failure to achieve the desired GH of < 5 mU/l does not mean that patients have not benefited from octreotide therapy; in our cohort of such patients mean GH levels fell by a median of 78% (range 35% to 100%) and IGF-I reduced from 140% ULRR (range 61290%) to 41% ULRR (range 5146%).
Our study and those of De Herder et al. (21) and Biermasz et al. (19) are the first to report the value of the octreotide TD in predicting the IGF-I response to SAT. As with GH, we found that the higher the baseline IGF-I, the less the likelihood of normalisation with treatment. The absence of a response to a TD of octreotide does not preclude normalisation of IGF-I during long-term SAT. IGF-I is increasingly being used as the primary goal of therapy in patients with acromegaly in which case the use of the GH response to a TD of octreotide is of even more limited value. In our study, IGF-I remained elevated in 12% of patients obtaining a mean GH of < 5 mU/l.
In conclusion, our data indicate that the octreotide TD is able to predict a positive response to SAT therapy. However, the limitation of the test is that failure to respond to a TD does not preclude a good response to long-term therapy. Therefore, it would be inappropriate to deprive a patient of octreotide treatment because of a poor response to a test dose. Furthermore, even if a patient fails to achieve an optimal response to treatment, defined here as a mean GH < 5 mU/l, there is still symptomatic and long-term benefit from lowering GH and IGF-I levels, in this study by 78% and 44% respectively. The octreotide TD has no place in the assessment of patients prior to octreotide therapy and should be abandoned.
| References |
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This article has been cited by other articles:
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A. Pokrajac, J. Frystyk, A. Flyvbjerg, and P. J Trainer Pituitary-independent effect of octreotide on IGF1 generation Eur. J. Endocrinol., April 1, 2009; 160(4): 543 - 548. [Abstract] [Full Text] [PDF] |
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